The past two months have been a mixed bag for my personal trading portfolio. In USD value, it’s portfolio is exactly where it was on May 20, despite an overall swing of over 40% from top to bottom. Measured in BTC, our bags have gained 12.5 percent over the past two months, despite making very few trades.
Bitcoin crosses critical trend intersection
As I write this, we are seeing a broad pump throughout the crypto markets. The timing seems to indicate a relationship with the US income tax deadline on April 17th, as the markets seemed to bottom out during the first week of April and began climbing the following week, including an insane $1000 pump that happened in under an hour. BTC itself has climbed 34% in the last 12 days.
We’ve also broken through the downtrend line that began in mid-December. The green line is the uptrend that started March 2017. We see this as a very good sign that the bear market may be over, but I’m waiting for several days of price levels above the uptrend before I call the bull run back on. I had noticed that these two trends were coming together on tax day, and had been anticipating what was going to happen for several weeks. This last dip down to the $6500 level was quite trying.
Alts are also having a nice run as well, with most of my personal bags up 40-160% over the past 30 days. I’ve refrained from any trading other than dollar-cost-averaging into BTC over the past 2-3 months, but today opened a few small positions of ZRX and XMR. I did not do any specific technical analysis beforehand, but did make a trade plan and will be keeping tight stops and scaling up as the price rises. We have only allocated a very small percentage of our capital to trading at this time, and our trade plan is limiting losses to under 2% of this subset. Our exit prices targets are at least 30%.
Our spec mining operation has had a good week as well. Haven (XHV), which we’ve been mining almost exclusively for the past month, has had over 200% gains the past two days. We continue to hold all of our mining proceeds as planned, although we have consolidated some smaller amounts of alts acquired through MiningPoolHub profit switching into XMR and ZEC.
In summary, we’re optimistic about the next few days and are watching things very closely in the meantime.